Economy & The Fed
Federal Reserve decisions, inflation data, interest rates, GDP, employment reports, recession indicators, and the broader economic picture.
Latest in Economy & The Fed
March PPI comes in at +0.5% — less than half the forecast; energy shock didn’t fully leak into wholesale prices
The energy shock was supposed to rip through the entire wholesale price chain. It didn’t. The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported on April 14 that...
CME FedWatch now shows a 40% probability of a rate HIKE before any cut
The number that stopped Wall Street’s rate-cut party: 40%. That is the probability, as of late April 2026, that the CME FedWatch Tool assigns to...
Dow futures drop 517 points as Trump orders Strait of Hormuz blockade
American drivers were already paying a national average of roughly $3.60 per gallon for regular gasoline when they got a new reason to worry on...
99,283 US workers laid off across 146 events in 2026 so far — ~973 per day
Between January 1 and April 12, 2026, at least 99,283 American workers received formal notice that their jobs were being eliminated. The losses span 146...
Fed projections still point to just one 0.25% cut in 2026 as tariffs and oil keep inflation sticky
A single quarter-point interest rate cut. That is all the Federal Reserve expects to deliver in 2026, according to projections released after its March 17-18...
OECD warns U.S. inflation could top 4% as energy shock spreads
Americans who lived through the price surges of 2022 may be bracing for a repeat. The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development warned in late...
Consumer sentiment sinks to record low as inflation view hits 4.8%
Americans are more pessimistic about the economy than at any point in the 72-year history of the University of Michigan’s consumer survey. The preliminary Index...
March CPI climbs to 3.3% 2-year high as Iran war drives energy spike
Americans paid more for gasoline in March 2026 than in any single month on record, and the shock rippled through nearly every corner of household...
Q4 GDP cut to 0.5% growth, reviving Wall Street stagflation worries
The U.S. economy grew at just 0.5% in the final quarter of 2025, the Bureau of Economic Analysis confirmed in its third and final GDP...
AI investment surge coincides with tech job cuts across sector
In the opening months of 2026, the tech industry is sending two signals at once: record sums of money are flowing into artificial intelligence, and...
CPI rises 0.9% in March as energy prices jump 10.9%, BLS says
Gasoline prices jumped 21.2% in a single month, and that one category alone accounted for roughly three-quarters of the overall Consumer Price Index increase in...
University of Michigan: consumer sentiment falls to record low
A gallon of regular gasoline averaged $4.87 nationally last week, grocery bills keep climbing, and Americans just registered the darkest economic mood in the eight...
Oil tops $100 after U.S. announces Strait of Hormuz blockade
Brent crude blew past $100 a barrel in the last week of April 2026 after the United States announced it would blockade Iranian ports along...
Delta plans to “meaningfully” cut capacity growth amid surging fuel costs
Summer travelers counting on a flood of new Delta Air Lines flights may need to rethink their plans. The carrier is scaling back its warm-weather...
Oil Prices Crashed Nearly $20 in Hours After U.S.-Iran Ceasefire. Here’s What That Means for Your Wallet.
Crude oil futures cratered by nearly $20 a barrel on a single trading day in April 2026 after the United States and Iran announced a...
Ray Dalio explains how Trump’s economic agenda could reshape U.S. markets in 2026
Billionaire investor Ray Dalio has warned that the economic direction of the United States could shift significantly depending on how major policy proposals reshape trade,...
Ray Dalio says the U.S. debt crisis poses a bigger risk than tariffs
Billionaire investor Ray Dalio has warned that the biggest economic risk facing the United States may not be tariffs or trade disputes. Instead, he believes...